May 13, 1997
President William J. Clinton
The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20500
Dear President Clinton:
Re. US National Security Threatened by a New Alliance of Muslim Petroleum Exporting Countries (AMPEC)
As you know, we Americans now import more than 50% of the petroleum we use. In fact, in 1995 18% of our imports came from the Muslim Middle East alone, and 27% from all the Muslim exporting countries.
Moreover, in 1995 40% of Europes petroleum imports came from the Middle East, and 58% from the Muslim exporting countries. In Japan, 77% came from the Middle East, and 92% from the Muslim exporting countries.
The percentage of World petroleum exports from Muslim countries will, willy-nilly, continue to increase until (perhaps by 2010) the Muslim countries will control nearly 100% of the Worlds petroleum exports. This situation was revealed in my study, The World Petroleum Life-Cycle: Encircling the Production Peak, presented on 9 May 1997 at Princeton University. See especially Figures 2-4 (to be published in the 1997 Space Studies Institute Conference Proceedings - Attachment #1).
Significantly, after reading my SSI paper a French petroleum geologist called and requested a forecast of the year that the petroleum production of the Worlds 19 Muslim countries will exceed the production of all 181 non-Muslim countries. Per my forecast, this cross-over will occur in 1999 (Attachment #2).
At Princeton, I gave the following Thought Experiment:
Please be advised.
Richard C. Duncan Ph.D., Director
INSTITUTE on ENERGY and MAN